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Estema

Custom EM risk model construction

The EMA “Estema” estimation program makes it simple to estimate the factor model underlying a set of securities returns using EMA’s proprietary implementation of EM (“Expectation Maximisation”) factor analysis. Users can set a wide range of variables and can build pure statistical or hybrid models.

Estema can be used for building factor models along the lines of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory. These factor models can be used for modelling and controlling portfolio risk. They can also be used to search for mispricing opportunities by highlighting high residual returns. Arbitrage Pricing Theory indicates that these residual returns may indicate mispricings that can potentially be exploited with zero risk. The long-term average return can be used to examine whether the Arbitrage Pricing Theory holds, and for identifying buy or sell opportunities.

Key features
  • Limited data requirements – just (log) total returns
  • User defined universe, lookback period and frequency of observation
  • Variable time weights
  • Variable stock weights
  • EM algorithm in-fills missing returns data
  • Easy to use: interfaces with MS Access
  • OLE compliant – can be set to run from other applications
Please feel free to Contact EMA or telephone +44 (20) 7397 8395 for further details.